Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.654443 0.814564 0.985687 1.180323 1.393849 1.619447 1.874350
2025-02-16 0.452476 0.675170 0.933742 1.247439 1.610200 2.010198 2.478757
2025-02-23 0.329009 0.573323 0.876341 1.261217 1.721866 2.243216 2.866793
2025-03-02 0.213112 0.453812 0.776915 1.208161 1.742490 2.362483 3.118382
2025-03-09 0.127910 0.351630 0.680743 1.143039 1.735159 2.437988 3.309429
2025-03-16 0.076290 0.282841 0.617195 1.109557 1.758485 2.543300 3.529584
2025-03-23 0.051362 0.251215 0.601206 1.134849 1.852346 2.731097 3.845252
2025-03-30 0.029881 0.215193 0.572367 1.138155 1.914875 2.878410 4.110886
2025-04-06 0.012795 0.174474 0.528657 1.115430 1.939822 2.976707 4.315440
2025-04-13 0.007492 0.164661 0.535978 1.165840 2.061152 3.194911 4.665357
2025-04-20 0.003860 0.155862 0.543459 1.215573 2.181090 3.411179 5.012954
2025-04-27 0.001960 0.152095 0.559509 1.277894 2.317988 3.648976 5.387177
2025-05-04 0.001134 0.155807 0.593297 1.372915 2.507172 3.962631 5.866774
2025-05-11 0.000135 0.147929 0.603356 1.431824 2.648412 4.217609 6.277444
2025-05-18 NaN 0.129945 0.589204 1.450613 2.732625 4.398384 6.595302
2025-05-25 NaN 0.094933 0.529690 1.392279 2.706340 4.435165 6.733343
2025-06-01 NaN 0.063724 0.466953 1.322258 2.659242 4.441853 6.831286
2025-06-08 NaN 0.044669 0.426831 1.285954 2.657212 4.504777 6.997203
2025-06-15 NaN 0.038468 0.423308 1.313341 2.747767 4.689688 7.316985
2025-06-22 NaN 0.029782 0.407411 1.316908 2.802377 4.826455 7.575572
2025-06-29 NaN 0.019398 0.377675 1.292330 2.813583 4.904394 7.758764
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018640 0.389606 1.346831 2.944001 5.142461 8.146461
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017853 0.401108 1.400522 3.073312 5.379231 8.532780